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Hunch: A Cure for Indecision?

A new site provides answers to life, the universe, and just about everything.

By Erica Naone

Monday, June 15, 2009

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Lately, search engines have started focusing more on providing answers to specific questions. Put "capital of Botswana," for example, into most search engines, and they'll happily produce both the correct answer and links to relevant sites. But most search engines are of little use with more abstract queries, such as "Which book should I read?" or "What should I make for dinner?"

Credit: Technology Review

Hunch, a website that launches to the public today, hopes to be the answer to these questions and many more besides.

Hunch begins "where a search engine leaves off," according to cofounder Caterina Fake, who previously cofounded the photo-sharing site Flickr and later worked on Yahoo Answers. Fake points out that a normal search engine would provide a user interested in buying a digital camera with links to hundreds of sites that review and compare the latest models. The user then has to sort through that information and figure out which camera is right for her.

In contrast, Hunch asks a few simple, multiple-choice questions, including "What type of photography are you interested in?," "Do you want a 'point and shoot,' an SLR, or a Rangefinder camera?," and "How much zoom do you want?" before recommending a specific model.

The site offers personalized recommendations for all manner of queries. Although many of the questions already on the site are lighthearted, there's serious computer science under the hood.

After a user creates an account and logs in to Hunch, she has the opportunity to answer all manner of questions in a box labeled "Teach Hunch About You." As the user runs through these questions, Hunch builds up reams of data to help with the recommendations that it makes.

In order to fine-tune its recommendations, Hunch balances a user's responses to questions with information from her profile. Users can indicate whether Hunch's recommendations were good or not, and this information will help adjust the factors that guide the site's algorithms in the future.

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Fake believes that many existing recommendation systems, such as those used by Amazon or Netflix, struggle because the data that they collect relates to a narrow range of topics. She thinks the problem is that they only have users' book or movie ratings to work with. "Whether you like Napoleon Dynamite could have something to do with whether you played a lot of pinball as a child," Fake says.

Fake sees Hunch as a grand experiment, but its success will depend on users' willingness to generate new content for the site and provide feedback to train its algorithms. Although the company seeded the site with some survey questions and topics, most of what's there now was added by users themselves during beta testing, Fake says.

Comments

  • My alarms are going off
    I read this with a really bad feeling. Well, probably more suspicious than bad.

    There is major concern about how social networking sites are trying to monetize the personal data its users volunteer. ("Monetize"? I don't really like the word, but its use and meaning are apparently here to stay.) So how much more data -- and more intimate data -- will Hunch have once it has interviewed you a few times to help you make decisions? It would take a lot of convincing to get me to trust it.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    dtutelman
    06/15/2009
    Posts:57
    Avg Rating:
    4/5
    • Re: My alarms are going off
      While I share your concerns, I can also say that it is rather easy to stop any invasion of your privacy.

      You just have to use these sites under an alias not connected to your real persona. Yes, it takes a bit more work, but then you're not handing over your private info on a platter.
      Rate this comment: 12345

      gabrielg01
      06/15/2009
      Posts:400
      Avg Rating:
      3/5
      • Re: My alarms are going off
        If you answer enough questions truthfully, you can be identified. It's already been demonstrated that your anonymous search history can often identify you.
        Rate this comment: 12345

        ms
        06/15/2009
        Posts:129
        Avg Rating:
        4/5
        • Re: My alarms are going off
          Agreed. The more unique info you give away, the easier is to zero in on you.

          However, who said you have to answer everything truthfully? You can set up decoy aspects of your online personality, which would completely skew your profile. Maybe "you" are very interested in Barbie dolls, yoga, whatever...Use your imagination.

          You could also bland your profile, by adding "every man" type of information: you follow football, baseball, hockey and you drink Budweiser beer...Again, use your imagination.
          Rate this comment: 12345

          gabrielg01
          06/15/2009
          Posts:400
          Avg Rating:
          3/5
  • Algorithms only
    You can mask some information by throwing in a few curve balls. For example you might "ask" Hunch whom you should vote for in the next Presidential Election, and then supply a Zip Code and Area Code from another part of the country. The tools data will quickly become corrupted to the point it "may" answer your query, but further risky material on you personally gets whacked out till it becomes useless to the Marketers or Montizers.

    I used to worry about businesses selling my information, and would change my first name around a little bit to see who was selling lists. I could be Mike on one susbscription, Mark on another, Mel on a third or Martin on a final one. I would also alter my middle initial too. Computers make it easier to manage data, but when all is said and done it's usually a live body making that "final" decision.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    mkogrady
    06/15/2009
    Posts:202
    Avg Rating:
    3/5
  • E-advice VS Data Collection
    These worries are valid and the tactics are astute. Yet most folks believe that commercial, private and gov orgs are addicted to collecting your data. They will not be stymied. Net worth, sexual pref, party affiliation, convictions (got DUIs?), donations, you-name-it. I know this reeks of paranoia but in this digital era, I assume all is garnered and stored forever.

    Hunch is prob better than Madam Zolta (she's NSA).
    Rate this comment: 12345

    Phineas
    06/16/2009
    Posts:85
    Avg Rating:
    4/5
  • Relevancy
    As a researcher I really welcome any tool that promises to make life easier. The problem with doing research on the net is that you sometimes have to sift through tons of not related data to get an answer to the question. If the algorithms used in hunch provide a more intuitive answer, then it's going to make life a lot simpler for us researchers. Look forward to trying it out.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    jschuman
    06/20/2009
    Posts:20
    Avg Rating:
    2/5
    • Re: Relevancy
      I have found wonderfully interesting paths while following a tangent of strange search results.  I use advanced search when I want to get "better" results. 
      Rate this comment: 12345

      StupidPeasan...
      06/20/2009
      Posts:35
      Avg Rating:
      3/5

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