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China Lacks Earthquake Early-Warning System

Continued from page 1

By David Talbot

Wednesday, May 14, 2008

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Quake monitor: This world map shows the location and intensity of seismic events. Red and yellow circles indicate events that occurred in the past two weeks.
Credit: IRIS

Had a warning system been in place in China before Monday's earthquake, the benefits may have been blunted by the poor quality of some of the buildings that collapsed. "There is no early-warning system implemented there, but even if it was, I don't know how effective it might be in that circumstance, when you have so many people living in bad buildings," Kanamori says.

Even a sophisticated system like Japan's is, of course, limited by the short warning time. For example, in 2004, a 6.5-magnitude earthquake struck in central Japan. A bullet train was running in the area, and thanks to the train-warning system, it shut off its power and hit the brakes. But the quake struck the tracks three seconds later, before the train had lost much velocity. It derailed anyway, the first such derailment in the bullet train's 40-year history.

Several European countries and the United States are conducting research on earthquake early-warning systems. But while a group of universities in California has developed and tested a warning network, no governmental system is in place to alert the public. "There hasn't been a major seismic event, and that is very lucky," Kanamori says. "But without that, there is no real incentive to start doing" public warnings.


Comments

  • other warnings
    I read (in a Dutch quality news paper) that Tibetan farmers knew a natural disaster was about to happen seven days before the quake, because of a sudden, massive exodus of toads. The paper also claims warmings of several employees of the Chinese seismological bureau where ignored by authorities. So it seems like early warnings are possible? (be it, with some uncertainty)
    Rate this comment: 12345

    tfrijnts
    05/15/2008
    Posts:6
    Avg Rating:
    3/5
    • Re: other warnings
      Hooray for the toads!  What a lesson they have for us if only we listen.  Nature provides all we need to know; man wants to complicate it, label it, make it, and put a name, reputation and price tag on it...

      And look how we treat our toads!  We have polluted our own good friends' livelihood.

      How did China get the Olympics anyway?  What else are they NOT prepared for?  Remember that baseball game last year interrupted by a swarm of locusts?  We ain't seen nothin' yet.
      Rate this comment: 12345

      johnalphonse
      05/15/2008
      Posts:78
      Avg Rating:
      2/5
      • Re: other warnings
        maybe fifteen years ago my friend , head of asian studies at ut austin went to china with many experts in seisma matters.  china at that time had publicity saying, we moved two hundred thousand out of the city and the quake came some few hours later.  Result of the US study was not satisfactory, in china birds and other animals were watched but did not prove certain enough to use.  I was in the big earthquake in Guatemala in 1976.  I happened to be awake at 3 a m and it began like any small one but then shot up like an atomic bomb.  my dog would go to the door to be let out each time before one of the after shocks. So I could learn from an animal when there is going to be an aftershock but not the main earthquake.
        Rate this comment: 12345

        Martinadalko...
        05/15/2008
        Posts:1
    • Re: other warnings
      doesn't help very much even if with early-warning system; that part is unfit for nearly 10 Mio population settlement with poor infrastructure;the Chineses gov't has been working hard to raise living standards of the central and western parts of China and making some progress;
      Rate this comment: 12345

      axckxho
      05/19/2008
      Posts:1
  • Early warning system-Made in Germany
    We have developed an early earthquake warning and security device for private homes, schools, hospitals, small village warning, apartments, hotels, skyscrapers and industry market. This system can warn the people in the endangered regions on time before an earthquake comes and shut off all systems. The function ability was tested positively in extensive tests at the GeoForschungsZentrum Potsdam (http://www.gfz-potsdam.de/pb2/index_e.html). 

    The system already is in use in 10 different earthquake countries. In a school in San Salvador our system has given alarm 30 seconds before the S-wave reached the building. The EPI-centre was 140km away from the school.

    We sold it to Honolulu, to Chile, Greece (City Hall), to Turkey (Consulate of Czech Republic in Istanbul, Hilton Hotel Istanbul), in Indonesia (Banda Ache), to Iran, to Afghanistan (Office of German Agro Action), to Pakistan (Hospital Kashmir), to Peru (private houses), to San Salvador (German school) and also in Germany.

    Our system is an indispensable component of the modern building management in all vulnerable to seismic shock countries today. We can also connect our system in your building management system.

    The product has won the idea price "W.I.N. AWARD 2006" as the best product innovation 2006 in Germany. 

    We work with same international organizations.

    Enclosed some information about company and product:

    Our sensors record the harmless P wave. About electronics the wave is analyzed and evaluated in fractions of a second. If the swelling value (the intensity at the building) should be higher than the value demanded by the scientists, the system will give alarm. Different switching processes can be started over an energy management. In this way, for instance, it is possible to

    give alarm before

    shut off gas and electricity supplies

    shut off the water supply

    activate emergency power generators

    park elevators

    open safety doors and gates

    traffic lights in front of bridges and tunnels

    control railway signal installations

    run data back-up programs

    Overall, the energy management system is able to control up to a maximum of 8 different electronically operated energy systems and building installations.

    The sensor can over a display with 8 differently swelling values (depend for the intensity of an earthquake where at the local place the system is installed) be adjusted according to the structure of the building.

    For an additional safety the system can be executed redundantly against false alarms. It is dependent how many people I will warn (single house = 1 detector and for example a 30 apartments building = 2 - 3 detectors).  The sensors can be connected to a network with each other in a "Master/ Slave" up to 16 detectors relation. 

    The basic module consist of the earthquake device and two sirens (as a single item 1,950 $US).

    For more information see our WEB page and a German movie

    http://www.secty-electronics.de/news.html

    or the German Embassy in Washington:  http://www.germany.info/relaunch/info/publications/week/2008/080125/economy7.html

    Do you need more information? Please contact me.

    I looking forward to hearing from you soon.

    Best Regards,

    Juergen Przybylak
    Rate this comment: 12345

    Juergen
    05/19/2008
    Posts:2
    Avg Rating:
    3/5
  • Natural and Man-made Disaster - Preventions and Recoveries
    A great discussion of DAPR (Disaster Awareness, Preparedness, and Recovery) can be had in the last chapter of "I.T. Wars:  Managing the Business-Technology Weave in the New Millennium."  The author exposes prevention measures in guarding against errors and large-scale man-made harm, such as terror attack, as well as exposing the best awarenesses, readiness postures and responses to natural (unpreventable) disasters.  He uses 9/11 and Katrina for his discussions.  Highly recommended.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    johnfranks99...
    06/02/2008
    Posts:2
  • Commercial Systems
    Sorry, I'm a bit late to the party, I just found this article from a link on Wikipedia. As one of the previous responders from Germany pointed out this article fails to mention that there are commercial solutions deployed in several countries.  The one I'm familiar with is the Quakeguard system from Seismic Warning Systems. This has a 10 year track record with a large number of installations in California.  The system has a sophisticated solution to avoid false positives which is important otherwise people will ignore the warning.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    Britace
    04/17/2009
    Posts:1

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