Tuesday, November 03, 2009
The Climate Bill Is Doomed
The question is, could that be a good thing?
By Kevin Bullis
Last week
researchers and policy experts gathered at MIT to talk about geo-engineering--a
subject that's becoming more popular in the face of concern over inaction on
climate change.
The upcoming
United Nations climate change convention in Copenhagen seems unlikely to
produce the binding and stringent agreement needed to sharply curtail
greenhouse gas emissions. Meanwhile, greenhouse concentrations continue to
mount, driving scientists who were once opposed to the idea of tinkering with
the planet to reconsider it.
Now they've
got another reason to be worried. Earlier this year a climate bill that would've
limited greenhouse emissions and helped renewable energy sources compete with
fossil fuels seemed well on its way. In June a version passed the House. But
then other matters--mostly health care reform--distracted Congress, and a
Senate version of the bill got bogged down. The Senate recently took up the
bill again, but yesterday a report in the Washington
Post declared that "there is almost no hope for
passage" of the bill.
Democrats are
divided over the bill, and Republicans have been vocally opposing it. If the
report is right, countries meeting in Copenhagen will have even more reason to
criticize the U.S. for inaction, and to use that as a reason to delay a climate
treaty or water it down.
That's one
way to look at it, at any rate. Here's another: Copenhagen is probably doomed
already--why the rush to push legislation through? That's essentially what
Republican Senator George Voinovich (Ohio), who opposes the current bill,
reportedly said last week, "Wouldn't it be smarter to take our time and do
it right?"
It certainly
is hard to be against getting something right. But will slowing things down
lead to a better climate bill? Probably not, as long as the chief objection is
that the bill will make energy more expensive, something that seems
unavoidable. But if the delay can lead to a better system for distributing
those costs equitably, and if along the way inefficient subsidies can be weeded
out and emissions caps tightened (wishful thinking?), it could be worth the
wait.